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Prediction markets for Policy Engine

AI "devops" #2: Will there be an AI that can help manage cloud infrastructure by 2030?

May 4, 9:06 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.28%chance

101893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

975

Will the US require speed limiting devices on cars by 2030?

Aug 13, 3:25 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

22.34%chance

171527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1865

536

Will I get into Stanford as a Transfer Undergraduate

Feb 2, 2:08 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

9806

OptionProbability

Acceptance

Rejection

Waitlist

46

38

16

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.96%chance

8548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

752

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2028?

Jun 1, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.68%chance

877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

137

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2033?

Jun 1, 6:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.4%chance

466

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

91

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2036?

Jun 1, 6:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73%chance

266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

73

Will the median reported total compensation for L3 software engineers at Google exceed $300,000 before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.79%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

68

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

Dec 11, 8:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10

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