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Prediction markets for PoR

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.42%chance

1290522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

53695

1962

Will AI porn videos be better than real porn by the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 7:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.81%chance

21665360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2326

331

By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?

Apr 12, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.37%chance

27964138

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

967

Will Portal 3, Team Fortress 3, or Half-Life 3 come out before 2033?

Jun 28, 4:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.12%chance

466279

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1236

896

Will someone be convicted just for making AI porn in the US?

Mar 3, 10:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.75%chance

536094

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2079

227

Waymo in Portland in 2026?

Jun 16, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.08%chance

134598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5005

23

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

17.74%chance

52226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8092

5234

Will Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?

May 3, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.61%chance

261132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1472

860

Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 70%?

Apr 14, 8:10 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

74.76%chance

17440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

100

Will Google announce a Pixel model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?

May 3, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.54%chance

17341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

971

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

37%chance

3305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

766

Will China annex any portion of Russia/Siberia by 2035?

Oct 6, 9:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20.22%chance

12239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

938

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