OptionProbability
Build, debug and test until its of sufficient quality, a complex piece of software like a mobile app including a backend service
Beating Pokemon games
HCAST - METR
Manually rearrange and overlap 100 random images in an image editor (with no other kinds of edits) to create a recognizable portrait
ARC-AGI (any version)
Wozniak Coffee Test (requires controlling a robot)
Opinion poll of Manifold userbase
Predict the output of an arbitrary set of NAND gates and inputs
60
56
52
50
48
34
30
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3008
332
457
51