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Prediction markets for Positive

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030

Apr 8, 4:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

98.98%chance

156585645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18319

1102

Will prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?

Nov 9, 7:16 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

8.27%chance

125474759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3330

300

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

Jan 22, 4:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.45%chance

51167440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22780

8792

If Elon Musk does something as a result of his AI angst by 2025, will Eliezer Yudkowsky judge it to be a positive or neutral initiative (as opposed to negative)?

Feb 26, 6:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.12%chance

17366341

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8877

3516

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.6%chance

17541407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7357

1014

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029

Oct 1, 3:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

99%chance

3417565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2200

906

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

53.76%chance

419642

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11501

8468

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?

Jun 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

30.2%chance

18910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

914

What percent of those taking rapamycin to slow aging will comment a positive or neutral review?

Sep 5, 10:30 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

56.24%chance

14466

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1453

1085

Will the % chance of this question be positive or negative on Jan 1 2026.

Jan 16, 7:19 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.52%chance

6147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

NFL 2025 - Which position will win Defensive Rookie of the Year?

May 13, 2:41 AMFeb 28, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

DT

Edge

LB

CB

S

20

20

20

20

20

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