POW News

First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?

Mar 13, 8:09 AMMar 13, 8:02 AM

16677010

OptionProbability

Benjamin Netanyahu

Mojtaba Khomeini

Donald Trump

Donut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?

Jan 6, 2:16 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8.94%chance

3955132

OptionVotes

YES

31934

3136

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.14%chance

226652

OptionVotes

YES

12736

7852

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2028 US elections?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMNov 8, 12:00 PM

43415

OptionProbability

D President, D Senate, D House (Democratic trifecta)

R President, D Senate, R House

R President, R Senate, R House (Republican trifecta)

D President, D Senate, R House

R President, D Senate, D House

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, D House

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

54.45%chance

282492

OptionVotes

YES

10933

9146

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2030 US elections?

Nov 5, 11:19 PMNov 6, 12:00 PM

22370

OptionProbability

D President, D Senate, D House (Democratic trifecta)

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

R President, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, R House (Republican trifecta)

D President, R Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, D House

R President, D Senate, R House

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Aug 8, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.28%chance

8844

OptionVotes

YES

4652

3621

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2032 US elections?

Nov 5, 11:19 PMNov 3, 12:00 PM

1800

OptionProbability

D President, D Senate, D House (Democratic trifecta)

R President, R Senate, R House (Republican trifecta)

D President, D Senate, R House

R President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

D President, R Senate, R House

R President, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, D House

Will the US hold at least 100 Chinese POW through 2029

Aug 28, 6:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.23%chance

7121

OptionVotes

YES

145

115

Will the PRC hold at least 100 American POW, ever, through 2029

Aug 28, 6:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.29%chance

691

OptionVotes

YES

195

150

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2034 US elections?

Nov 5, 11:19 PMNov 8, 12:00 PM

OptionProbability

D President, R Senate, R House

R President, D Senate, D House

D President, D Senate, D House (Democratic trifecta)

R President, R Senate, R House (Republican trifecta)

D President, D Senate, R House

R President, R Senate, D House

D President, R Senate, D House

R President, D Senate, R House

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2036 US elections?

Nov 5, 11:19 PMNov 5, 12:00 PM

OptionProbability

D President, D Senate, D House (Democratic trifecta)

R President, R Senate, R House (Republican trifecta)

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

R President, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, D House

R President, D Senate, R House

POW News

Prediction markets for POW

Prediction markets for POW

Prediction markets for POW

First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?

Donut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2028 US elections?

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2030 US elections?

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2032 US elections?

Will the US hold at least 100 Chinese POW through 2029

Will the PRC hold at least 100 American POW, ever, through 2029

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2034 US elections?

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2036 US elections?

Latest stories