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Prediction markets for Power Five
Will space be the cheapest place to put AI by end of Feb 2029?
Feb 16, 4:26 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
4.19%chance
9514585
OptionVotes
4785
209
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
57.01%chance
9113224
OptionVotes
1152
868
Will the Supreme Court overturn Griggs v. Duke Power Co.?
May 4, 2:33 AMMay 3, 3:59 AM
21.37%chance
183300
OptionVotes
1467
799
Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?
Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
6.09%chance
243124
OptionVotes
3239
689
When Iran’s new Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next next Supreme Leader?
Mar 9, 4:17 PMMar 9, 4:14 PM
111643
OptionProbability
35
20
12
11
10
7
5
1
OptionProbability
43
30
8
6
5
3
3
3
OptionProbability
47
20
9
7
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
431
209
Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
76.62%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1045
963
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?
Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
13.7%chance
6245
OptionVotes
354
113
Will the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?
Jul 17, 6:08 AMJul 17, 6:59 AM
51.07%chance
9101
OptionVotes
217
200