Power Five News

SEC Adds Ninth Conference Football Game, Starting 2026

6 months ago

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

58.08%chance

9013035

OptionVotes

YES

1177

850

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 11 politicians will keep power longer? The next five "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

287610

OptionProbability

Kim Jong Un, Supreme Leader of North Korea, 1982/1983/1984

Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, 1953

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, 1952

Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, 1954

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, 1950

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Turkey, 1954

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine, 1978

Donald Trump, US President, 1946

Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine and Palestinian National Authority, 1935

Viktor Orbán, Prime Minister of Hungary, 1963

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, 1939

Nicolas Maduro, President of Venezuela, 1962

Will the Supreme Court overturn Griggs v. Duke Power Co.?

May 4, 2:33 AMMay 3, 3:59 AM

21.37%chance

183300

OptionVotes

YES

1467

799

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.09%chance

243124

OptionVotes

YES

3239

689

When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?

Nov 25, 10:02 PMDec 2, 11:59 PM

7626

OptionProbability

No one (regime change, system change) = no Supreme Leader

Other

Mojtaba Khamenei

Hashem Hosseini Bushehri

Ongoing “interim” arrangement / power-sharing structure.

Alireza Arafi

Power struggle between 1 or more that sees rival Supreme Leaders both with actually realistic claims (based on authority/endorsements by senior clerics and religious figures etc).

When will the next UK general election be held?

Dec 16, 12:31 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

3483

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jan 2029

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2027

Before Jan 2026

Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)

Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

76.62%chance

16398

OptionVotes

YES

1045

963

How many nuclear reactors will Spain have in 2028?

May 3, 4:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8387

OptionProbability

Below 6

Above 7

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

105

103

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

14.22%chance

5235

OptionVotes

YES

344

115

Will the Clintons invoke the fifth amendment or executive privilege in their testimony regarding Epstein?

Feb 2, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4123

OptionProbability

At least one Clinton invokes executive privilege during testimony

At least one Clinton invokes the Fifth Amendment during testimony

Will the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?

Jul 17, 6:08 AMJul 17, 6:59 AM

51.07%chance

9101

OptionVotes

YES

217

200

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Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 11 politicians will keep power longer? The next five "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Will the Supreme Court overturn Griggs v. Duke Power Co.?

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?

When will the next UK general election be held?

Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)

How many nuclear reactors will Spain have in 2028?

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Will the Clintons invoke the fifth amendment or executive privilege in their testimony regarding Epstein?

Will the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?

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