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Prediction markets for Power Pages

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

112190087

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2027

Jan - Jun 2027

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

Jan - Jun 2025

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2026

87

5

4

3

0

0

0

0

0

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Apr 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

10%chance

4330937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2573

667

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

76.6%chance

4012878

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1810

553

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.78%chance

464841

OptionVotes

NO

YES

964

918

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩‍⚖️🏛️

Mar 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.71%chance

492498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

837

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.98%chance

9206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

172

119

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.76%chance

11140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

98

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 10:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

62.63%chance

659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

75

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.79%chance

143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

Will Algeria bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.67%chance

327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

97

83

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