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Prediction markets for Power Pages

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

92119646

OptionProbability

Jan - Jun 2026

Other

Jul - Dec 2026

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

36

34

27

2

1

0

0

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?

Aug 12, 9:34 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

4.94%chance

185142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4388

228

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.38%chance

424565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

981

837

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.93%chance

102715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3012

332

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩‍⚖️🏛️

Mar 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.99%chance

421566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

857

Will Chile bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.56%chance

4134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

82

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

Will the FC-31 have entered service in China by the end of 2030?

Jun 4, 3:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

68.45%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

74

34

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 7, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

49.85%chance

310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

51

51

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

33

33

33

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