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Prediction markets for Power Pages

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

99138212

OptionProbability

Other

Jan - Jun 2026

Jul - Dec 2026

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

59

24

15

2

1

0

0

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.35%chance

444648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

753

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.32%chance

203663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1354

739

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩‍⚖️🏛️

Mar 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.97%chance

461917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1663

760

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

When will freedom.gov go live?

Mar 4, 5:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

241

OptionProbability

May 1, 2026 – August 31, 2026

On or Before April 30, 2026

September 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Jan 1, 2027 +

56

16

16

13

Will South Africa bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Aug 3, 9:53 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

61.73%chance

439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

89

Will Sweden bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

66.29%chance

227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

96

52

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

33

33

33

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