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Prediction markets for Power Pages

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

95129534

OptionProbability

Jan - Jun 2026

Other

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

45

38

15

1

1

0

0

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.95%chance

424571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

811

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.53%chance

142906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2426

412

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩‍⚖️🏛️

Mar 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.94%chance

431616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1367

841

Will the ordering of the known Mersenne primes be proved by 2030?

Oct 23, 3:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

90.62%chance

4211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

311

32

Will Chile bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.56%chance

4134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

82

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 1:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

47

Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 6, 8:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

23.04%chance

356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

40

Will Ethiopia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.63%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

94

86

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

33

33

33

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