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Prediction markets for Power Pages

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

103159442

OptionProbability

Other

Jan - Jun 2027

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

50

29

18

2

1

1

0

0

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Apr 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

15.27%chance

4229826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1834

771

Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?

Aug 6, 4:23 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

254864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1645

608

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19%chance

454728

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

809

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩‍⚖️🏛️

Mar 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.91%chance

472118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1667

759

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5529

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Other

Isadore Hall

95

4

2

How many pages will the fifth volume of Robert Caro's "The Years of Lyndon Johnson" have?

Feb 27, 2:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6320

OptionProbability

Above 300

Above 600

Above 900

Above 1200

Above 1500

Above 2000

Above 2500

96

91

75

57

36

26

20

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

81.35%chance

494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

71

Will Brazil bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 2, 9:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

67.56%chance

587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

71

Will Peru bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 2, 9:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

38%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

78

Will Algeria bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Aug 3, 10:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

41.69%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

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