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Prediction markets for Predator

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

7.67%chance

836529327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

69114

9469

Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?

Sep 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17%chance

181274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1507

854

Will Joe Biden die this year?

Mar 31, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.77%chance

171019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

344

29

If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?

Oct 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.35%chance

21889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Malcolm Collins or Simone Collins convicted of felony before 2035

Dec 29, 6:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

26.05%chance

5685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

593

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM

66.67%chance

14463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

935

By 2030, will any Democratic administration succeed in jailing their opponents?

Nov 8, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.5%chance

3458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

Will New Zealand be predator-free in 2050?

Mar 5, 5:03 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

29.65%chance

10271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

118

Will running "prey substitute" robots, which carry meat substitutes for feeding wild predators, exist by 2050?

May 25, 6:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.21%chance

7155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

228

168

Which of these characters will be playable in Dead by Daylight before 2029?

Jul 14, 7:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3152

OptionProbability

Candyman

Pennywise

Slenderman

M3GAN

Among Us

Outlast

Donnie Darko / Frank

Predator

Creature from the Black Lagoon

48

45

45

45

45

45

45

43

41

Will Predator be added to Dead by Daylight by the end of 2026?

May 25, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.76%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

64

Will Alien vs Predator 3 be announced as in production by the end of 2027?

Oct 2, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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