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Prediction markets for Predator

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.7%chance

835518679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

58873

10436

Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?

Sep 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.07%chance

181194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1427

871

If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?

Oct 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.35%chance

21889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Malcolm Collins or Simone Collins convicted of felony before 2035

Dec 29, 6:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

26.05%chance

5685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

593

By 2030, will any Democratic administration succeed in jailing their opponents?

Nov 8, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.5%chance

3458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM

63.2%chance

13363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

989

989

Will New Zealand be predator-free in 2050?

Mar 5, 5:03 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

29.65%chance

10271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

118

Will my African Grey Parrot be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Oct 4, 4:13 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

85.06%chance

8168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

120

Will running "prey substitute" robots, which carry meat substitutes for feeding wild predators, exist by 2050?

May 25, 6:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.21%chance

7155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

228

168

Which of these characters will be playable in Dead by Daylight before 2029?

Jul 14, 7:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3121

OptionProbability

Pennywise

Predator

Candyman

Slenderman

M3GAN

Among Us

Outlast

Donnie Darko / Frank

Creature from the Black Lagoon

48

48

48

45

45

45

45

45

41

Will Predator be added to Dead by Daylight by the end of 2026?

May 25, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.76%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

64

Will Alien vs Predator 3 be announced as in production by the end of 2027?

Oct 2, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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