OptionProbability
Luke Littler
Luke Humphries
Gian van Veen
Michael van Gerwen
Gerwyn Price
Josh Rock
Jonny Clayton
Stephen Bunting
64
13
12
10
8
7
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1334
752
VONC called
Another early state election before 2029
Rockliff leads minority government for at least 1 year
Second VONC Called
Second VONC Succeeds
Liberals form supply and confidence agreement in support of Rockliff
Another early state election within 1 year
Liberals form coalition agreement in support of Rockliff
Labor forms government/Labor MP holds Premiership at any point
Labor-Green formal coalition in government (with or without formal independent support)
VONC succeeds (Rockliff ousted)
100
80
75
66
50
34
24
22
17
0
