OptionVotes
NO
YES
2681
374
OptionProbability
Europe
Asia
Oceania
Hawaii
Scandinavia
Hong Kong
North America
South America
Africa
Japan
United Kingdom
Australia
Southeast Asia
India
Canada
Middle East
Other
24
7
3
VONC called
Rockliff leads minority government for at least 1 year
Another early state election before 2029
Second VONC Called
Second VONC Succeeds
Liberals form supply and confidence agreement in support of Rockliff
Liberals form coalition agreement in support of Rockliff
Labor forms government/Labor MP holds Premiership at any point
Labor-Green formal coalition in government (with or without formal independent support)
VONC succeeds (Rockliff ousted)
Another early state election within 1 year
100
80
66
50
34
22
17
4
0
