OptionProbability
Goal scored on penalty
Last 10 minute winner
Goal in first 5 minutes of any game
There is a 0-0 draw
Player gets a red card (in any fashion)
From 2 goals down to level during a match
Erling Haaland scores
3 (or more) draws
A player scores a hat trick
Team scores 5 goals
2 (or more) come from behind wins
There is an Own Goal scored
7+ cards in a single match
86
82
74
71
63
51
47
45
43
41
31
VONC called
Another early state election before 2029
Second VONC Called
Second VONC Succeeds
Rockliff leads minority government for at least 1 year
Liberals form supply and confidence agreement in support of Rockliff
Another early state election within 1 year
Liberals form coalition agreement in support of Rockliff
Labor forms government/Labor MP holds Premiership at any point
Labor-Green formal coalition in government (with or without formal independent support)
VONC succeeds (Rockliff ousted)
100
87
66
50
48
34
24
22
17
4
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
133
75
