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US Consumer Confidence Rises to 97.2 as Job Differential Hits Eight-Year Low
Authors
26
4 days ago
Prediction markets for Present Situation
Prediction markets for Present Situation
Will Jaime Maussan's 'nonhuman beings' (2023) still be considered an 'elaborate hoax' by Wikipedia in 2030?
Dec 20, 3:28 AM
Jan 2, 3:59 AM
94.17%
chance
18
14147
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1736
912
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
20.52%
chance
34
12373
Option
Votes
YES
NO
19679
5082
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
Dec 12, 6:15 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
34.98%
chance
35
1217
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1111
912
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
Oct 4, 1:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2.89%
chance
11
779
Option
Votes
YES
NO
712
85
Will Manifold Staff rule that the POTUS is the President in this circumstance*?
Mar 11, 1:35 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
59.22%
chance
3
705
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1205
830
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2033?
Dec 23, 7:34 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
14.57%
chance
9
308
Option
Votes
YES
NO
278
178
Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026
Feb 18, 8:46 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
52.09%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
104
96
Provide a steelman argument for mandatory pronouns on social media/communicators.
Nov 12, 8:37 PM
0
0
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