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Top stories

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Presidency of the Republic

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

758984437

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump, Sr

Nikki Haley

Ted Cruz

Glenn Youngkin

Brian Kemp

Ivanka Trump

None

Greg Abbott

Mike Pence

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Kristi Noem

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Josh Hawley

Steven Mnuchin

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

Tulsi Gabbard

42

23

12

5

5

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Jul 1, 9:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.71%chance

9840566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10948

9140

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4713237

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump Jr.

J.D. Vance

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump

Eric Trump

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Ron DeSantis

Glenn Youngkin

Tucker Carlson

Ivanka Trump

Greg Abbott

49

13

11

9

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

The first female US president will be Republican

Nov 5, 12:50 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.99%chance

553802

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

755

If the Republican candidate for president loses in 2028, will they deny the election result?

Mar 2, 7:55 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

65.37%chance

353205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1374

728

Will the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?

Jul 22, 1:21 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

9.1%chance

262523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3325

409

Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?

Jan 10, 9:01 PMNov 16, 5:59 AM

40.22%chance

191721

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

719

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.79%chance

161306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

928

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

56.34%chance

20690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

725

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Nov 27, 6:45 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

15588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

828

Who will be the next president of Czech Republic after first term of Petr Pavel?

Nov 18, 11:13 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4322

OptionProbability

Petr Pavel

Other

Andrej Babiš

52

27

21

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