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Top stories

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Presidency of the Republic

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

8101105054

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump Jr

Thomas Massie

Donald Trump, Sr

Nikki Haley

Ted Cruz

Glenn Youngkin

None

Greg Abbott

Mike Pence

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Kristi Noem

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Josh Hawley

Steven Mnuchin

Brian Kemp

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

Ivanka Trump

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

Tulsi Gabbard

47

21

13

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Jul 1, 9:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

10543191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11221

8901

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5316893

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump Jr.

J.D. Vance

Tucker Carlson

Glenn Youngkin

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump

Eric Trump

Ivanka Trump

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Ron DeSantis

Greg Abbott

53

23

5

4

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

The first female US president will be Republican

Nov 5, 12:50 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.99%chance

553802

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

755

If the Republican candidate for president loses in 2028, will they deny the election result?

Mar 2, 7:55 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

54.5%chance

363420

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

914

Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?

Jan 10, 9:01 PMNov 16, 5:59 AM

37.74%chance

232176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

774

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

74.33%chance

181556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

956

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Nov 27, 6:45 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.04%chance

171243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

932

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

57.19%chance

21707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

742

Who will be the next president of Czech Republic after first term of Petr Pavel?

Nov 18, 11:13 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

7396

OptionProbability

Petr Pavel

Andrej Babiš

Other

55

27

19

Will both the Republican and Democratic Nominees for 2028 President be Straight and Male?

Aug 24, 4:18 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

55.35%chance

5201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

994

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