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Top stories

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Geagea Calls Naim Qassem Speech a Threat to Lebanon’s Institutions

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Presidency of the Republic

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

8061097772

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump Jr

Donald Trump, Sr

Glenn Youngkin

Thomas Massie

None

Greg Abbott

Nikki Haley

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Kristi Noem

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Josh Hawley

Steven Mnuchin

Brian Kemp

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

Ivanka Trump

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

Tulsi Gabbard

43

24

15

4

3

3

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?

Jul 1, 9:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.52%chance

10242070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10343

9665

Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028?

Jul 18, 10:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5215449

OptionProbability

Other

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump Jr.

J.D. Vance

Tucker Carlson

Vivek Ramaswamy

Eric Trump

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump

Ivanka Trump

Tim Scott

Doug Burgum

Nikki Haley

Greg Abbott

Glenn Youngkin

47

24

7

6

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

The first female US president will be Republican

Nov 5, 12:50 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.99%chance

553802

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

755

If the Republican candidate for president loses in 2028, will they deny the election result?

Mar 2, 7:55 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

65.37%chance

353205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1374

728

Will the Republican Party nominate a woman for president in 2028?

Jul 22, 1:21 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

9.1%chance

262523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3325

409

Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?

Jan 10, 9:01 PMNov 16, 5:59 AM

39.24%chance

211982

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

740

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

74.33%chance

181556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

956

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Nov 27, 6:45 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.04%chance

171243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

932

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

56.34%chance

20690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

725

Who will be the next president of Czech Republic after first term of Petr Pavel?

Nov 18, 11:13 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

7396

OptionProbability

Petr Pavel

Andrej Babiš

Other

55

27

19

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