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Prediction markets for Press Act

Nuclear war in next 5 years?

Jul 3, 5:16 PMJul 4, 5:03 PM

3.31%chance

4115758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

540

19

Will the leader of a nonwestern nuclear power make an extremely ASI-pilled public statement before 2031?

Jan 12, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.5%chance

213083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2251

445

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

6.57%chance

202857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2678

765

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

Feb 9, 11:39 PMJan 1, 11:35 PM

14.38%chance

242326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2440

410

Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Jun 22, 2:04 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

61.02%chance

21913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?

Apr 3, 7:40 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

48.17%chance

16737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

378

315

Will a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027?

Mar 18, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.51%chance

16728

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028?

Aug 24, 10:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.82%chance

10717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

502

20

Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026?

Aug 20, 5:10 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM

28.85%chance

16569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

73

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Mar 13, 11:09 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

6.33%chance

5211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

788

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by October 1, 2026?

Aug 2, 10:22 AMOct 1, 11:00 PM

30.11%chance

9127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

84

Will the White House name a new Press Secretary by November 15, 2026?

Sep 24, 6:14 AMNov 16, 4:59 AM

71.41%chance

889

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

29

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