Preview News
Prediction markets for Preview
Will I judge GPT-5 to be smarter than o1 (not preview) after both are released?
Sep 18, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
83.99%chance
204175
OptionVotes
2290
437
OptionProbability
100
52
2
0
0
0
OptionProbability
16
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
80
67
0
0
OptionProbability
28
14
0
0
0
OptionProbability
21
17
15
15
0
0
OptionProbability
100
73
3
3
0
OptionProbability
22
22
16
0
0
0
OptionProbability
39
15
7
0
0
Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale 2025 Predictions/Hot Takes [LRCP Previews]
Nov 18, 2:06 AMNov 2, 3:59 AM
4425
OptionProbability
77
45
34
26
0
0
Will "DeepSeek beats o1-preview on math, ties on co..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Nov 22, 3:54 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
4%chance
5242
OptionVotes
323
83
Any ARC‑AGI‑3 Preview submission solves at least one private game level?
Jul 31, 2:02 AMAug 26, 1:59 AM
78.33%chance
6187
OptionVotes
194
55