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Prediction markets for Private Beta

Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?

Nov 22, 10:01 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

94.22%chance

157143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4036

248

Which month will Anthropic release Sonnet 5?

Feb 5, 11:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

102058

OptionProbability

March 2026

February 2026

April 2026

May 2026

June 2026

July 2026 or later

Never released

Other

42

18

16

6

6

6

4

1

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Feb 2, 3:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.15%chance

8426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

933

Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?

Jan 25, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

11375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

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