Profit After Tax News

If H.R 9495 is passed, which nonprofits will be targeted by it before 2029?

Nov 23, 4:43 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

153191

OptionProbability

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

Greenpeace

Alliance for Global Justice

Amnesty International

International Workers of the World (IWW)

Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)

UNICEF

Media Matters for America

Planned Parenthood

Oxfam

AFL-CIO

GiveDirectly

United Auto Workers (UAW)

Archive Of Our Own (AO3)

Southern Poverty Law Center

NAACP

League of Conservation Voters

Sierra Club

GiveWell

American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU)

OpenAI

The United Methodist Church (UMC)

Against Malaria Foundation (AMF)

Will Trump eliminate taxes on gambling winnings?

Dec 11, 6:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

8932

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

510

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4240

OptionProbability

Yes

Other

Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?

May 22, 11:08 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

3180

OptionProbability

Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work

Dec '28: AI systems able to autonomously design their successors (RSI)

Nov '26: AI good enough at biology to both advance science and potentially proliferate bioweapon risks

Nov '27: Autonomous companies exist and generate $10m+ revenues

Apr '27: A team of humans collaborating with AI will make a Nobel-winning discovery

How much will Microsoft be required to pay in back taxes as a result of their current IRS audit?

Oct 15, 8:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9136

OptionProbability

$1-5 billion

$0-1 billion

$10-15 billion

$5-10 billion

$15-20 billion

>$20 billion

Will Jose Luis Ricon be part of a 501(c)(3) organization by EOY2035?

Apr 29, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55%chance

213

OptionVotes

YES

111

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If H.R 9495 is passed, which nonprofits will be targeted by it before 2029?

Will Trump eliminate taxes on gambling winnings?

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true?

How much will Microsoft be required to pay in back taxes as a result of their current IRS audit?

Will Jose Luis Ricon be part of a 501(c)(3) organization by EOY2035?

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