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Prediction markets for Project Crypto
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
20.52%chance
3412373
OptionVotes
19679
5082
Will Anthropic launch something cryptocurrency related in 2025?
May 13, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3%chance
279255
OptionVotes
5686
176
Will Logan Paul spend at least 1 month in prison before the end of 2027?
Dec 29, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.08%chance
201434
OptionVotes
1024
981
Will Logan Paul be arrested before the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.54%chance
171355
OptionVotes
1599
839
AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉
Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM
6.17%chance
12628
OptionVotes
1385
915
Will Facebook / Meta restart their crypto project (Diem / Libra) under the Trump administration? (Stablecoin Payments)
Feb 6, 12:31 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM
71.67%chance
19577
OptionVotes
159
63
Will someone successfully launder mana into real money?
Jan 19, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60.37%chance
12407
OptionVotes
231
106
Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?
Dec 30, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.38%chance
12299
OptionVotes
1162
941
Will fewer than 1/3 of these crypto projects be widely considered to be scams by 2030?
Dec 11, 4:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
91.74%chance
2120
OptionVotes
190
35
Will "impact markets" distribute more than $10m of grant funding before 2030?
Nov 1, 10:00 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
73.01%chance
442
OptionVotes
245
182
Is Prometheum primarily a boring crypto grift with no significant political forces behind it?
Jun 22, 1:19 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
66.22%chance
220
OptionVotes
90
56
Will the AMEX/Coinbase co-branded card hurt AMEX's brand?
Jun 13, 7:44 PMDec 31, 8:35 PM
45.7%chance
19
OptionVotes
109
92