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Prediction markets for Project Zero

Will Bitcoin be carbon-neutral by 2030?

Jul 5, 7:56 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

13.93%chance

223199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2485

402

Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?

Mar 25, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

171356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1687

593

AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉

Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

6.17%chance

12628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1385

915

Proof of Personhood SDK stock

Apr 8, 8:05 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

21351

OptionProbability

NO

YES

416

404

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

Will there be Starknet L2 over TON by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 12:53 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

53.61%chance

3176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

98

Will MBG get defunded before 2027?

Mar 12, 5:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.86%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

When will we measure the mass of neutrino?

Mar 6, 3:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

138

OptionProbability

Before 2036

Before 2034

Before 2032

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2026

57

56

54

50

43

0

Will California have a lower GDP per capital than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

May 1, 12:27 AMJan 18, 8:00 PM

53.93%chance

326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

89

Will Saudi Aramco Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:04 PMMar 8, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 90

90 - 99

100 - 109

110 - 119

120 - 130

Above 130

17

17

17

17

17

17

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