ProMotion News
Prediction markets for ProMotion
Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?
Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM
53.76%chance
419642
OptionVotes
11501
8468
Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?
Aug 23, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.72%chance
738464
OptionVotes
7531
3749
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.01%chance
175392
OptionVotes
9916
2845
Will it be revealed by 2030 that Bing Sydney's release was partially a way to promote AI safety?
Jun 14, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.48%chance
422797
OptionVotes
2145
852
Will the new $SHOGGOTH project promoted by Martin Shkreli end in a rug pull or other loss of customer funds by EOY 2030?
May 3, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
81.2%chance
202153
OptionVotes
413
93
Will the Slamfest '99 lost media be found by the end of 2026? (Super Smash Bros promotion event)
Oct 21, 11:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.13%chance
7525
OptionVotes
1523
657
Will Dana White (UFC fight promoter) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 3, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.11%chance
6367
OptionVotes
211
121
Will incest promotion become the 1st thing people think about the Effective Autruism/Less Wrong complex by 2025?
Nov 10, 9:07 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
4.38%chance
7270
OptionVotes
460
145
Will Oscar xor I promote to USACO Plat in the 2025-26 season?
Apr 10, 12:36 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
25.34%chance
492
OptionVotes
172
58
Will Arketamine promote a greater anti-depressant effect than Esketamine?
Apr 17, 11:24 PMApr 24, 11:24 PM
56.27%chance
666
OptionVotes
946
945
OptionVotes
109
92
Will Claire Wang be promoted to Korvettenkapitän (corvette captain)?
Feb 8, 11:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.98%chance
110
OptionVotes
80
62