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Proof of Reserves News

Backpack Exchange to Publish Daily Zero-Knowledge Proof of Reserves Starting August 18, Verified by OtterSec

Backpack Exchange to Publish Daily Zero-Knowledge Proof of Reserves Starting August 18, Verified by OtterSec

11

4 months ago

How many members of the 2026 USA IMO Team will have had a manifold account?

Aug 7, 12:39 AMApr 1, 11:59 PM

164496

OptionProbability

6

5

4

3

2

0

1

44

40

7

4

3

1

1

Luigi Mangione NY Trial Prop Bets [Add Answers]

Dec 11, 6:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

131811

OptionProbability

Juror names are not public record

Trial doesn't start until 2026

The defense calls fewer witnesses than the prosecution

Law & Crime offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"

Alternate juror is seated as a member of the Jury

Court TV offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"

Jury is sequestered just during deliberations

Trial is televised

A motion for recusal is made

Brady evidence is withheld

Luigi Mangione changes counsel during trial

Jury sequestered for entire trial

Defense counsel sanctioned

Defendant held in contempt

DA sanctioned

The case will be heard as a bench trial

90

83

63

52

48

46

45

43

39

26

25

22

18

18

15

4

Which of these titles will Ron Paul become “_____ of”, w/r/t the Federal Reserve?

Feb 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4780

OptionProbability

(Catch-all for “special appointments” etc.)

Auditor General

Nominee for Chairman

Chairman

Ender

50

37

21

17

17

Aliens kill at least one human before 2035

Jul 22, 6:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

4.62%chance

16720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1355

948

When will an AI be able to write an OS from scratch, unsupervised, in <24hrs

May 6, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16695

OptionProbability

2044-2045

2029-2030

2028-2029

2030-2031

2027-2028

2031-2032

2026-2027

2024-2025

2025-2026

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

34

25

21

7

5

5

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Luigi Mangione Federal Trial Prop Bets [Add Answers]

Dec 19, 6:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10448

OptionProbability

Juror names are not public record

The defense calls fewer witnesses than the prosecution

Jury sequestered for entire trial

Court TV offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"

Law & Crime offers "Gavel-to-Gavel coverage"

Luigi Mangione changes counsel during trial

Alternate juror is seated as a member of the Jury

Trial doesn't start until 2026

The case will be heard as a bench trial

Brady evidence is withheld

AUSA sanctioned

Defense counsel sanctioned

A motion for recusal is made

Defendant held in contempt

Jury is sequestered just during deliberations

Trial is televised

90

83

72

50

50

45

35

31

31

31

31

31

25

20

18

17

Will someone successfully launder mana into real money?

Jan 19, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.8%chance

13417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

241

100

A second plane has hit the quantum computing! (By Oct. 2027)

Oct 16, 7:36 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM

20.95%chance

5168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

93

Will activities banned by the Antarctica Treaty take place before 2030?

Sep 12, 9:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.93%chance

856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

147

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