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Prediction markets for Proof of Rewards

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31%chance

18679710

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4803

133

[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?

Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

20.52%chance

3412373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19679

5082

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.21%chance

10010501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3855

1987

Will Bitcoin change its block reward mechanism by 2040?

Mar 18, 6:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.67%chance

85600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

465

128

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85%chance

403484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

346

97

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

472454

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2049

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

50

38

9

2

0

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?

Oct 1, 4:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65%chance

432390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

261

82

Trump mentions Riemann hypothesis during 2nd term how many times?

Jun 9, 10:59 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

81092

How many years after 2000 will P vs PSPACE be resolved?

Mar 10, 5:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5177

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