OptionProbability
[All non-meta options for before 2030 are continuously under 50% for any 4 week period before 2025]
Before January 2040
Before January 2030
Before January 2029
Before January 2027
[Any month is continuously over 50% for 24 hours because of a relevant news story and resolves NO, before January 2026]
Before January 2028
[Any month is continuously over 50% for any 6 week period less than one year before it arrives, before January 2026]
Before January 2026
By January 2024
By February 2024
By March 2024
By April 2024
By June 2024
Before July 2024
Before January 2025
76
19
10
8
6
5
4
3
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2673
2541
416
404
218
46