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Proposer Failure News
Prediction markets for Proposer Failure
Prediction markets for Proposer Failure
If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
Mar 12, 8:49 PM
Jun 20, 7:59 PM
48%
chance
64
3941
Option
Votes
YES
NO
117
103
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?
Aug 12, 10:19 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
48.47%
chance
33
3226
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1143
727
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
74.89%
chance
31
1936
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1629
626
Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?
Dec 31, 8:58 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
54.61%
chance
28
1702
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1032
938
Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?
Nov 11, 11:36 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
56.48%
chance
4
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
114
88
Will Jonathan Oppenheim @postquantum win his bet with with @carlorovelli and @quantum_geoff about whether space-time is best described by quantum theory?
Jan 23, 8:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.32%
chance
3
21
Option
Votes
YES
NO
131
95
FDA Oversight of laboratory tests will be substantially approved by mid 2026
Dec 4, 10:56 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
56.66%
chance
2
13
Option
Votes
NO
YES
77
64
Does the MEGA Drive work?
Jun 10, 12:44 AM
May 15, 11:59 AM
45.39%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
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