Protocol Points News

Does Nectome's preservation protocol work?

Mar 12, 6:22 AMJan 2, 6:11 AM

44.1%chance

3712703

OptionVotes

YES

11259

8882

When will Bryan Johnson die?

Jan 7, 6:36 PMMar 4, 2:59 AM

2010117

OptionProbability

Before 2300

Before 2200

Before 2100

Before 2090

Before 2080

Before 2070

Before 2060

Before 2050

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2026

will trump be assasinated in US?

Mar 7, 1:13 AMDec 31, 1:12 AM

5.24%chance

355565

OptionVotes

YES

425

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

will trump be assasinated in 2026

Feb 28, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.34%chance

222802

OptionVotes

YES

547

Will file transfer over the internet be solved before 2040?

Jul 1, 8:26 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

61.92%chance

311288

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will formal verification become "mainstream" before 2031?

Jan 20, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.09%chance

12510

OptionVotes

YES

1108

142

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Jun 19, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.15%chance

8112

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will the internet become extinct before 2100?

Sep 15, 1:16 PMDec 31, 7:30 AM

11.17%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

101

Will prediction markets as concept and its history record die, defunct, and cease to exist before 2050?

Nov 1, 8:12 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

5%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Protocol Points News

Prediction markets for Protocol Points

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Prediction markets for Protocol Points

Does Nectome's preservation protocol work?

When will Bryan Johnson die?

will trump be assasinated in US?

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

will trump be assasinated in 2026

Will file transfer over the internet be solved before 2040?

Will formal verification become "mainstream" before 2031?

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Will the internet become extinct before 2100?

Will prediction markets as concept and its history record die, defunct, and cease to exist before 2050?

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