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Prediction markets for PS

Are the telepathy tapes actually documenting psychic abilities? (scientific consensus by 2026)

Dec 28, 2:59 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.66%chance

2629444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2024

867

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55%chance

8512836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

1081

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.12%chance

428528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

864

Gary Marcus prediction: physical reasoning of AI systems will improve before psychological reasoning

Jan 23, 8:50 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

28.51%chance

363775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

974

Will Elon Musk blame psychoactive substance use for past Trump-era statements/actions at any point in his life

Feb 12, 1:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.7%chance

212430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

773

Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?

Jan 14, 1:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.35%chance

291526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1615

254

Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?

Oct 17, 1:32 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47.32%chance

17956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

405

Is astrology a "gateway pseudoscience"?

Aug 20, 11:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.23%chance

45885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1167

886

Are Psychedelic Drugs Good for You?

Dec 31, 9:28 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

49.54%chance

7419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

991

Will Bloodborne remake be one of the launch titles of PS6?

Nov 21, 10:11 PMDec 28, 10:59 PM

52.45%chance

4352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?

Jan 29, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.58%chance

15293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

834

Will Final Fantasy 7 remake trilogy be completed and released for PS by the end of 2027?

May 24, 3:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49.69%chance

6156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

83

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