Public Issue Rules News

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

36.31%chance

5711924

OptionVotes

YES

1395

643

What happened to missing Air Force General, William Neil McCasland?

Mar 14, 4:02 AMMay 13, 2:56 AM

72115

OptionProbability

He is dead or incapacitated, due to an unintentional medical mishap or injury

No answers resolve by resolution date (5/12/26)

He was murdered

He got lost while on a walk or hike

He is dead, due to suicide

He was abducted or killed by a non-government associated individual or group

The disappearance is related to UFO/UAP knowledge or theories

He was abducted or killed by individuals following an official or unofficial action of the US Government

He was abducted or killed by individuals following an official or unofficial action of a foreign government

He is alive and well, but choosing to remain hidden

Will the ICJ find Russia in breach of the Genocide Convention?

Jun 1, 11:51 PMJan 1, 12:50 AM

32.15%chance

71909

OptionVotes

YES

145

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

71.35%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

158

FDA Oversight of laboratory tests will be substantially approved by mid 2026

Dec 4, 10:56 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

5%chance

3248

OptionVotes

YES

299

Will any company be GDPR fined for inputting personally identifiable information into ChatGPT before 2030?

Feb 9, 2:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

60.48%chance

9235

OptionVotes

YES

131

122

Will a gag order be issued on Fani Willis limiting mentioning the Trump election interference case in public?

Mar 15, 8:34 PMJan 20, 6:59 AM

20.33%chance

12223

OptionVotes

YES

486

190

Will a LA governor by 2033 free all non-unanimous jury prisoners, including those reconvicted after retrial?

Jan 9, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2220

OptionVotes

YES

1202

832

Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?

Feb 27, 6:44 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

81.81%chance

9199

OptionVotes

YES

212

If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?

Oct 26, 4:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

67.46%chance

9147

OptionVotes

YES

144

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Oct 14, 11:21 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

133

Brazil outlaws racial identity verification panels before 2030?

Mar 19, 8:44 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

49.5%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

102

100

Public Issue Rules News

Prediction markets for Public Issue Rules

Prediction markets for Public Issue Rules

Prediction markets for Public Issue Rules

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

What happened to missing Air Force General, William Neil McCasland?

Will the ICJ find Russia in breach of the Genocide Convention?

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

FDA Oversight of laboratory tests will be substantially approved by mid 2026

Will any company be GDPR fined for inputting personally identifiable information into ChatGPT before 2030?

Will a gag order be issued on Fani Willis limiting mentioning the Trump election interference case in public?

Will a LA governor by 2033 free all non-unanimous jury prisoners, including those reconvicted after retrial?

Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?

If the ICJ rules Israel is not committing genocide in Gaza, will this appear on Wikipedia's main page within 30 days?

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Brazil outlaws racial identity verification panels before 2030?

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