Public Phase News
Prediction markets for Public Phase
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
137169164
OptionProbability
69
15
5
4
3
3
1
1
Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]
Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
24%chance
48090112
OptionVotes
7294
4968
Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?
Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
41%chance
19028884
OptionVotes
1200
834
Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?
Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
5.26%chance
2411233
OptionVotes
11928
1118
OptionVotes
3821
475
Complete Epstein files released before GTA 6 launch?
Nov 7, 12:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 AM
29.79%chance
378705
OptionVotes
1539
653
OptionVotes
2939
341
Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?
Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
73.59%chance
212870
OptionVotes
1221
865
10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?
Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.62%chance
71465
OptionVotes
2417
414
OptionVotes
348
105
[Metaculus] By June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine w/o phase III in response to a public health emergency?
Oct 12, 10:28 PMJun 2, 9:00 AM
15.79%chance
5156
OptionVotes
219
69
Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?
Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.98%chance
3102
OptionVotes
1040
961