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Top stories

Russian Duma Chairman Volodin Meets Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang for 80th Liberation Day with Shaman Performance, Putin's Congratulations

Russian Duma Chairman Volodin Meets Kim Jong-un in Pyongyang for 80th Liberation Day with Shaman Performance, Putin's Congratulations

Authors

14

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Putin

(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?

Oct 24, 3:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6461670

OptionProbability

Other

Nikolai Patrushev

Mikhail Mishustin

Dmitry Medvedev

Chaos - no clear controller of Moscow

Aleksey Dyumin

Sergei Shoigu

Aleksandr Bortnikov

Sergey Naryshkin

Sergei Sobyanin

Ramzan Kadyrov

Alexey Navalny

Yulia Navalny

44

13

10

7

7

5

4

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

Aug 13, 1:00 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM

15.85%chance

20537906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7643

1334

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.46%chance

14535624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2977

1215

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.84%chance

14826834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7430

6053

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?

Apr 30, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.93%chance

8819401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1940

430

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM

18.17%chance

14617860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3467

1320

Will Putin outlive Biden?

Jun 28, 4:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.91%chance

14114820

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3861

920

Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?

Jun 15, 6:28 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

29.94%chance

15713515

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1554

1018

Will Vladimir Putin die of natural causes?

Jun 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

60.32%chance

1132835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

1345

Will Putin die before Trump?

Apr 29, 9:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.79%chance

391966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2001

1429

Will Ukraine take back control of Mariupol while Putin is in power?

May 3, 2:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.48%chance

181653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

352

28

Will Putin still be in power when Xi Jinping leaves power?

Mar 13, 3:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.13%chance

25902

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2254

1726

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