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Prediction markets for Pyth

Will we reverse-engineer a language model into an interpretable (python) program by 2027?

Nov 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3.77%chance

364378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2891

837

Will Python be replaced as the go-to programming language for AI development by the end of 2040?

Jan 5, 8:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

83.68%chance

463528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1811

685

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026

May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.74%chance

162116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2329

885

[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Apr 15, 2:22 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

71.07%chance

431455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

952

When will Python 2 finally die?

Jan 4, 8:05 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

381347

OptionProbability

2028 to 2031

2027 or before

Other

2032 to 2035

41

35

15

9

There will be a Python6.9 before the year 2069

Feb 14, 8:34 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

12.55%chance

211076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1456

891

Will the PSF intentionally stop to provide Python in the EU before 2028?

Jul 13, 5:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.6%chance

121014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1596

934

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030

May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

18724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

888

When will Python 3.14 readiness reach 75%?

May 13, 7:37 PMMay 13, 7:37 PM

2507

OptionProbability

Before January 2028

Before January 2027

Before July 2027

Before July 2026

Before July 2025

Before January 2026

83

66

66

34

1

1

Will "Pythia" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 16, 10:00 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.34%chance

4164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

980

Will Python 3.10 reach 90% readiness before end of life?

May 13, 7:41 PMOct 4, 11:59 PM

20.9%chance

7152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

When will Python development tool uv overtake Poetry in JetBrains surveys?

Nov 20, 11:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

2130

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

Later or never

2024

17

17

17

17

17

15

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