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Prediction markets for PyTorch

What will be the PyTorch of AI engineering at the end of 2025?

Mar 4, 3:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

191706

OptionProbability

langchain

mcp

Other

instructor

pydantic-ai

dspy

smolagents

Cursor [[Very Likely NO. cursor.com has no AI engineer package]]

embedchain

43

23

15

4

4

4

3

2

2

When will there be an AGI for most tasks I care about?

Feb 12, 5:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

241204

OptionProbability

<2035

<2030

<2029

<2028

<2027

<2026

<2025

88

76

62

58

48

32

5

Will AI be able to write, compile, and unit test a single .c file to reproduce GPT-2 training from PyTorch code by 2026?

Apr 9, 4:13 PMApr 9, 6:29 PM

70.13%chance

291047

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

930

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026

May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.55%chance

15745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

920

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030

May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.23%chance

16564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1310

915

Will pytorch be most used autodiff framework as of the end of 2026?

Dec 18, 8:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

83.02%chance

6133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

109

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