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Prediction markets for Q2

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

24.47%chance

255936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6162

4697

What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2?

Dec 17, 1:40 PMJun 30, 1:27 PM

134518

OptionProbability

Acquired by Paramount

Purchase stalled bureaucratically

None of the above

Acquired by Netflix

Bankrupt proceedings initiated

74

10

10

3

3

Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by Q2 2026?

May 29, 8:55 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1.69%chance

182561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

24

Will the UK build >1.5m new homes by the end of Q2 2029

May 8, 11:40 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.15%chance

211664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

366

Will SpaceX's Starship cross the International Date Line by the end of Q2 2026?

Jun 8, 7:19 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

13.19%chance

171054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

39

Will Finland recognize a state of Palestine before the next Parliamentary Elections (Q2 2027)

Sep 8, 3:43 PMApr 17, 11:59 PM

9.79%chance

11723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

304

33

Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?

Aug 8, 12:43 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

61.88%chance

12666

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1274

785

Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027

Jan 12, 5:58 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

45.16%chance

6579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

908

Will samarium oxide prices increase by more than 25% globally by Q2 2026?

Feb 21, 12:03 PMAug 20, 12:03 PM

50.17%chance

4558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

899

Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?

Dec 21, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9537

OptionProbability

Any part of 2026

Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st)

Q3 (Jul 1st - Oct 1st)

Q4 (Oct 1st - Jan 1st 2027)

Q1 (Jan 1st - Apr 1st)

89

67

65

58

1

Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?

Apr 19, 6:14 PMJul 2, 12:00 AM

31.49%chance

3475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1475

678

Will cobalt and nickel scrap prices stabilize by Q2 2024?

Feb 22, 9:02 AMJun 22, 9:01 AM

53.3%chance

399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

936

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