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Prediction markets for Q3

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

8.67%chance

4015624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14578

3257

Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?

Dec 21, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9605

OptionProbability

Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st)

Any part of 2026

Q3 (Jul 1st - Oct 1st)

Q4 (Oct 1st - Jan 1st 2027)

Q1 (Jan 1st - Apr 1st)

100

100

92

41

0

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

62.29%chance

4280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

649

459

Will Berkshire Hathaway outperform S&P 500 in Q3 2026?

Jul 2, 11:57 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

79.78%chance

11235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

50

Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?

Jul 16, 2:01 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

73.53%chance

3129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

60

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:52 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

88.31%chance

291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

181

58

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,500,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

67.37%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

77

Will Tesla's Q3 2026 vehicle deliveries match or beat its Q2 2026 total of 480,126?

Sep 1, 1:47 AMOct 15, 12:00 AM

19.14%chance

323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

34

Will the median home value in travis county be more than 750,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:57 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will the median home value in travis county be more than 350,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:57 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Tesla report a GAAP operating margin below 2% for a second straight quarter in Q3 2026?

Aug 11, 1:50 AMNov 20, 11:59 PM

72.78%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

96

Will the median home value in travis county be more than 500,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:56 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

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