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Prediction markets for Quantum Day

Q-Day before 2030?

Apr 1, 9:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.22%chance

8988238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86621

36681

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19%chance

454728

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

809

Will Q-Day happen in 2025 or 2026? When all of our encryption is broken.

Aug 6, 6:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4%chance

161727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

490

20

When will antimatter reactors be created for space travel?

Mar 10, 5:06 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

13257

OptionProbability

After 2150 or never

Between 2051-2100

Before 2051

Between 2101-2150

54

17

15

14

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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