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Prediction markets for Quick Settings

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

17243865

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1585

1297

Who will win the 2026 F1 season World Driver's Championship

Feb 2, 10:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

317585

OptionProbability

Kimi Antonelli

Lewis Hamilton

George Russell

Max Verstappen

Lando Norris

Oscar Piastri

Charles leclerc

Fernando Alonso

Valtteri Bottas

Nico Hulkenberg

Sergio Perez

Lance Stroll

Carlos Sainz

Alex Albon

Isack Hadjar

Liam lawson

Arvind Lindblad

Estaben Ocon

Oliver Bearman

Gabriel Bortoleto

Pierre Gasly

Franco Colapinto

60

20

13

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Jan 1, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.19%chance

161981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1596

626

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1795

801

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.32%chance

10603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

730

What will be the established name for the phenomenon of AI-driven job loss?

Jun 1, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:53 PM

8306

OptionProbability

No convergence on a term by EOY 2027

The Jobpocalypse

Other

AI job displacement

The Great Automation

Jobquake(s)

40

28

24

4

2

2

Will Singaporean Farhanna Farid break the female deadlift world record in the 52kg class this year (2026)?

Jan 24, 5:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.82%chance

2107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

What will be the first neutron star radius measured, in km?

Jul 14, 7:07 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

39.5%chance

556

OptionProbability

YES

NO

265

222

Will a captive coelecanth live in aquarium for more than 3 years by 2032

May 17, 2:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Is José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente funny?

Aug 6, 8:38 PM

20

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

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