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Prediction markets for Quick Settings

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.57%chance

16940406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1882

1004

Who will win the 2026 F1 season World Driver's Championship

Feb 2, 10:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

272043

OptionProbability

Kimi Antonelli

George Russell

Lando Norris

Max Verstappen

Charles leclerc

Oscar Piastri

Lewis Hamilton

Fernando Alonso

Valtteri Bottas

Nico Hulkenberg

Sergio Perez

Lance Stroll

Carlos Sainz

Alex Albon

Isack Hadjar

Liam lawson

Arvind Lindblad

Estaben Ocon

Oliver Bearman

Gabriel Bortoleto

Pierre Gasly

Franco Colapinto

37

30

11

5

5

4

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Jan 1, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.88%chance

161881

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

668

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1795

801

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.32%chance

10603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

730

What will be the established name for the phenomenon of AI-driven job loss?

Jun 1, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:53 PM

8306

OptionProbability

No convergence on a term by EOY 2027

The Jobpocalypse

Other

AI job displacement

The Great Automation

Jobquake(s)

40

28

24

4

2

2

Will Singaporean Farhanna Farid break the female deadlift world record in the 52kg class this year (2026)?

Jan 24, 5:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.11%chance

197

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

What will be the first neutron star radius measured, in km?

Jul 14, 7:07 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

39.5%chance

556

OptionProbability

YES

NO

265

222

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

Is José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente funny?

Aug 6, 8:38 PM

20

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