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Prediction markets for Quick Settings

Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?

Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

16740007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1703

1135

Will I get punished for blindly running AI-generated code in 2026?

Jan 1, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

151757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

625

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1795

801

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.96%chance

8548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

752

What will be the established name for the phenomenon of AI-driven job loss?

Jun 1, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:53 PM

8306

OptionProbability

No convergence on a term by EOY 2027

The Jobpocalypse

Other

AI job displacement

The Great Automation

Jobquake(s)

40

28

24

4

2

2

Who will win the 2026 F1 season World Driver's Championship

Feb 2, 10:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10253

OptionProbability

Oscar Piastri

George Russell

Max Verstappen

Charles leclerc

Lando Norris

Fernando Alonso

Kimi Antonelli

Lewis Hamilton

Nico Hulkenberg

Sergio Perez

Lance Stroll

Carlos Sainz

Alex Albon

Isack Hadjar

Liam lawson

Arvind Lindblad

Estaben Ocon

Oliver Bearman

Gabriel Bortoleto

Pierre Gasly

Franco Colapinto

Valtteri Bottas

20

18

15

7

6

4

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

Will Singaporean Farhanna Farid break the female deadlift world record in the 52kg class this year (2026)?

Jan 24, 5:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.38%chance

175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

What will be the first neutron star radius measured, in km?

Jul 14, 7:07 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

39.5%chance

556

OptionProbability

YES

NO

265

222

Is José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente funny?

Aug 6, 8:38 PM

20

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

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