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Prediction markets for Quip
Prediction markets for Quip
Will Trump change his mind on AI before 2027?
Sep 20, 7:41 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20.53%
chance
24
2802
Option
Votes
YES
NO
557
460
LLM trained on data from 1900 comes up with special relativity from scratch by the end of what year
Oct 5, 9:45 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
19
2694
Option
Probability
2035
2030
2025
49
27
0
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%
chance
1
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
Is José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente funny?
Aug 6, 8:38 PM
2
0
Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?
Dec 3, 4:22 PM
1
0
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