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Prediction markets for Qwen
OptionProbability
78
70
49
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
91
90
89
88
82
76
75
66
59
57
53
51
43
40
40
37
19
16
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Nov 27, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
133919
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
82
82
78
73
40
31
22
22
21
18
16
11
10
OptionProbability
70
45
29
29
25
23
23
23
23
Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers]
Jun 25, 10:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19530
OptionProbability
77
11
7
2
1
1
1
1
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.77%chance
5234
OptionVotes
1025
976
Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60.33%chance
380
OptionVotes
123
81
Which LLM Maker will hold the top Safety Score for Spiral-Bench on https://eqbench.com/spiral-bench.html on Jan1, 2027?
Jan 6, 7:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
160
OptionProbability
34
31
5
5
5
5
5
5
5