RAT News

👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Jan 11, 5:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

56.31%chance

440954278

OptionVotes

YES

12844

6434

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.34%chance

192825

OptionVotes

YES

12162

8222

Will the Brown Rat, a.k.a. Common Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 8, 7:37 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.03%chance

102718

OptionVotes

YES

3134

313

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Will the House Rat, a.k.a. Black Rat (Rattus rattus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 3:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.34%chance

8975

OptionVotes

YES

1406

361

Will the wild population of the Brown Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct by 2100?

Mar 5, 12:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2.19%chance

6616

OptionVotes

YES

1069

415

Will the NYC Rat Index be 65 or higher at the end of 2025?

Dec 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.4%chance

15495

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will New Zealand eradicate mustelids, rats, and possums by 2050?

Mar 30, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

19.26%chance

8325

OptionVotes

YES

248

Will the NYC Rat Index be 65 or higher at the end of 2025?

Jul 8, 3:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.45%chance

582

OptionVotes

YES

116

Will a naked mole rat reach > 55 years of age by 2040?

Nov 10, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.23%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will Lada Nuzhna and Jose Luis Ricon both raise a pet naked mole rat together?

Jun 4, 10:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Which rat are you? 🐀⁉ 🐀

Sep 4, 3:53 PMApr 28, 9:59 PM

150

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👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Will the Brown Rat, a.k.a. Common Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct in the current century?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Will the House Rat, a.k.a. Black Rat (Rattus rattus) become extinct in the current century?

Will the wild population of the Brown Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct by 2100?

Will the NYC Rat Index be 65 or higher at the end of 2025?

Will New Zealand eradicate mustelids, rats, and possums by 2050?

Will the NYC Rat Index be 65 or higher at the end of 2025?

Will a naked mole rat reach > 55 years of age by 2040?

Will Lada Nuzhna and Jose Luis Ricon both raise a pet naked mole rat together?

Which rat are you? 🐀⁉ 🐀

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