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Prediction markets for Ray

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

937

Ray Dalio stock

Apr 9, 1:02 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

185349

OptionProbability

YES

NO

542

160

Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?

Mar 28, 2:54 AMApr 4, 10:59 AM

17.94%chance

654190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

537

94

will ray the streamer eat a dog before gta 6 ?

Mar 21, 8:39 AMNov 19, 9:38 AM

20.28%chance

51189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

34

Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM

13.5%chance

121072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

931

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 4:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.46%chance

14470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

958

Will Ray Kurzweil get a blood transfusion from Bryan Johnson (@zero)?

Mar 22, 6:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.06%chance

3284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

356

93

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.46%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

230

Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?

Jul 13, 1:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.65%chance

5141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

65

In what year will Blu-ray be open sourced?

Aug 26, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

2031-2035

2036-2040

2041-2045

2046+

2026-2030

26

26

21

21

5

Will another bird species be shown to recognize itself in the mirror (like manta rays) by 2030?

Sep 14, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.52%chance

590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

88

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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