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Prediction markets for Reach

Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.6%chance

276105079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4625

1046

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Sep 13, 10:15 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.43%chance

2468963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50207

800

Will TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?

Nov 10, 5:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39%chance

9149849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

1028

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.44%chance

12337037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14083

6658

Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?

Oct 29, 6:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.42%chance

12727006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6416

4252

[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.15%chance

7720977

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9071

3542

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19%chance

2913568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?

Nov 9, 7:59 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

1111688

OptionProbability

U-1

U-2

U-4

U-5

U-3

27

24

24

24

15

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

338786

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

872

Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?

Jul 29, 5:46 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

50.46%chance

353451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

1025

Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?

Aug 2, 11:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.28%chance

9296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

11

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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