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Prediction markets for Reach

Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.81%chance

23984929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2443

1835

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Sep 13, 10:15 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.4%chance

2368958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50409

795

Will TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?

Nov 10, 5:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.93%chance

8645582

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1506

723

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.2%chance

11636496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14299

6435

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.59%chance

2913558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

46

During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?

Nov 9, 7:59 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

1111188

OptionProbability

U-1

U-2

U-4

U-5

U-3

27

24

24

24

18

[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.32%chance

6210116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5344

4741

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.63%chance

317489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

829

Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Sep 13, 8:18 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

20.35%chance

323018

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1988

508

Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?

Jul 29, 5:46 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

58.99%chance

322930

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1229

864

Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?

Jan 20, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.15%chance

81011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2277

1772

Will a laboratory mouse reach 8 years of age by the end of 2030?

Dec 27, 8:26 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

18.54%chance

16650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

937

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