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Prediction markets for Reach

Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?

Apr 22, 2:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.6%chance

276105079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4625

1046

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Sep 13, 10:15 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.43%chance

2468963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50207

800

Will TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?

Nov 10, 5:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

9147983

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1245

932

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.62%chance

11836884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14050

6693

[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.99%chance

6814585

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8681

3642

Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?

Oct 29, 6:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43%chance

10914389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5346

4458

Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?

Dec 30, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19%chance

2913568

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?

Nov 9, 7:59 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

1111688

OptionProbability

U-1

U-2

U-4

U-5

U-3

27

24

24

24

15

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.63%chance

317489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

829

Will the 47th President reach a worse net approval rating than Biden?

Jul 29, 5:46 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

50.46%chance

353451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

1025

Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?

Jan 20, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.4%chance

162359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2796

1484

Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?

Aug 2, 11:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11.25%chance

7186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

19

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