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Prediction markets for Reactor

Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?

Jan 24, 10:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

28.8%chance

726414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

956

Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?

Oct 20, 9:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.5%chance

665702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

946

Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?

Jan 26, 11:48 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

55.17%chance

804509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1469

823

Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?

Mar 1, 11:45 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

70.74%chance

254459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

753

Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?

Feb 23, 12:07 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

67.13%chance

274338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1397

738

Will we get fusion reactors before 2033?

Jan 26, 10:48 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

35.87%chance

462892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

886

Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?

Sep 26, 6:44 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

36.36%chance

382620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

1115

Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?

Jan 28, 8:16 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

41.79%chance

291913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

804

Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?

Dec 15, 9:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.74%chance

221693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

368

Will Helion deploy a commercial fusion reactor before 2040?

Sep 27, 8:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.68%chance

231140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

734

Will the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)

Dec 16, 11:42 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.42%chance

20396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

983

Will Kairos Power have reactors online by 2030?

Oct 16, 7:02 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

48.2%chance

3100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

965

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