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Prediction markets for Real Earnings

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

24770242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2057

702

AI Bubble (props)

Mar 8, 8:00 AMMar 8, 8:00 AM

172656

OptionProbability

Major AI lab (OpenAI/Anthropic/xAI) announces 20%+ layoffs by end 2026

Nvidia stock lower on Dec 31, 2026 than Mar 8, 2026 close

Global AI capex growth under 40% YoY in 2026

Anthropic valuation below $300B by Dec 31, 2026

34

27

15

6

Do you think Bayern would win the second leg against Real Madrid

Apr 7, 11:20 PMDec 30, 11:19 PM

99%chance

92593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will June 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 9:16 AMJul 14, 12:25 PM

16.87%chance

4177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

48

Will June 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 8, 10:13 AMJul 14, 12:25 PM

20.71%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

43

Will the gender pay gap in weekly real earnings close to within 5% before 2040

Mar 14, 4:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.78%chance

4148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

86

Will the gender pay gap in weekly real earnings close to within 5% before 2030

Mar 14, 4:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.74%chance

5144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

99

Is Floyd Mayweather Broke? 🥊💰🤑💵💸

Mar 8, 2:45 PMDec 31, 2:41 PM

77%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

55

Lynas reports at least one month production loss in 2026?

Nov 25, 1:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.98%chance

5110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

Will the gender pay gap in weekly real earnings close to within 5% before 2035

Mar 14, 4:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.77%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

66

Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 26, 1:28 AMDec 10, 1:29 PM

52%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

92

Will December 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 6:10 PMDec 10, 12:25 PM

49.72%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

89

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