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Prediction markets for Reality

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.06%chance

233123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3255

688

Will mixed reality (MR) gain mass adoption by the end of 2025?

Oct 20, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.04%chance

142386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3363

731

Will AI video become indistinguishable from reality by 2030?

Jun 30, 2:13 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

78.38%chance

271854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1904

525

Will virtual reality replace traditional schooling methods by 2030?

Jan 11, 12:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.9%chance

161791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2362

778

Will a virtual reality platform host a live event attended by a sitting head of state by 2025?

Mar 7, 6:08 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

18.3%chance

171312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1918

645

Will someone fail to hydrate/eat, dying as a result, because they could not perceive reality, their hunger, or their thirst, while using a social media network in the next 10 years?

Dec 6, 3:48 AMDec 6, 4:00 AM

39.3%chance

171036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

848

Will >50% of the US population own a Vision Pro or other mixed reality headset in 2028?

Jun 5, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.13%chance

121002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

957

Will Elon Musk launch a reality show on Mars, featuring Martian life by 2030?

Feb 5, 11:42 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

4.2%chance

18828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

934

Will fully realistic virtual reality be developed before 2040?

Mar 17, 1:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75%chance

13561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

979

If AI becomes economically dominant will we see Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a reality shortly thereafter?

Sep 28, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.13%chance

18425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

993

Will Lego sell Virtual Reality construction sets by the end of 2030?

Apr 19, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.32%chance

18269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

992

Will there be a Zelda: Breath of the Wild adaptation for Virtual Reality by end of 2030?

Jan 7, 7:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.85%chance

13109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

970

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