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Prediction markets for ReCapture

When will Russia attack Europe with military force?

Nov 18, 7:18 AMMar 19, 10:59 PM

545826

OptionProbability

Before end of 2033

Never

Before end of 2029

In 2034 or later

31

30

25

14

Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026?

Aug 27, 6:15 AMNov 30, 10:00 PM

9%chance

81182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?

Jun 4, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.73%chance

4680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

900

WW3: South Korea conquered

Mar 28, 7:31 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.01%chance

8272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

94

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