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Prediction markets for Receiver

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

85.24%chance

73829372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

252397

43577

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.92%chance

22148695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16006

6248

By when will most 50k+ FTX bankruptcy claimants have received their last installment ?

Jan 4, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15114321

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2025

Before Jan 2026

Before July 2026

83

58

0

0

0

[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?

Jul 20, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.13%chance

11958822

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7987

4234

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?

May 23, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.38%chance

3411193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8143

1543

Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?

Jun 15, 7:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.52%chance

256995

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4139

242

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize within the next 10 years?

May 24, 1:01 AMMay 31, 6:59 AM

19.08%chance

365090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2059

486

Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Sep 25?

Sep 21, 6:04 PMSep 25, 11:59 AM

74.7%chance

84741

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1718

582

Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $75 before Sep 27?

Sep 23, 8:22 AMSep 26, 11:59 PM

43.91%chance

41630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

885

Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?

Mar 3, 9:59 PMMar 31, 9:59 PM

31.14%chance

111496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1506

686

By EOY 2100, will humanity have sent a probe to another star system and received meaningful info?

Jul 12, 12:16 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

48.08%chance

19992

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1253

575

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