Red News

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Sep 4, 7:49 AMMar 13, 6:59 AM

4242402

OptionProbability

Shanks is the only holy knight (past member or current member) from the Red-Haired Pirates

Other

Yes, the Red-Haired Pirates ARE the holy knights

No, they are not the holy knights nor do they have any affiliation (besides Garling)

Someone else from the Red-haired Pirates besides Shanks was a past member or is a current member of the holy knights

Red vs. Blue button except prediction market

Apr 30, 8:26 PMMay 11, 8:23 PM

1426590

OptionProbability

Red

Blue

100

Will Greenland be renamed "Red, White, and Blueland"

Feb 11, 9:49 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

1.97%chance

2711769

OptionVotes

YES

7050

142

Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028

Jul 4, 2:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.52%chance

162322

OptionVotes

YES

2929

808

Over 1.5 red cards issued for mouth covering at 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Apr 29, 2:12 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

24.72%chance

10985

OptionVotes

YES

1745

573

Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Feb 27, 11:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.13%chance

19739

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will Mr. Beast run a red button vs. blue button video by the end of the year?

Apr 30, 2:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.73%chance

11615

OptionVotes

YES

1371

729

Will all Five Eyes countries be governed by red parties before the end of Trump’s second term?

Apr 28, 10:24 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

38.58%chance

15583

OptionVotes

YES

1143

899

What will be Max Verstappen's next team after Red Bull Racing?

Apr 18, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11479

OptionProbability

Aston Martin

Mercedes

He'll leave F1 without driving for another team

Audi/Sauber

Ferrari

McLaren

Racing Bulls

Alpine

Haas

Williams

Cadillac

Other

Will the Red Panda (Ailurus fulgens) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 11, 1:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.11%chance

5246

OptionVotes

YES

744

405

Will "Red-Thing-Ism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 25, 3:26 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.23%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

1003

984

Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 23, 12:44 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

1051

992

Red News

Prediction markets for Red

Prediction markets for Red

Prediction markets for Red

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Red vs. Blue button except prediction market

Will Greenland be renamed "Red, White, and Blueland"

Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028

Over 1.5 red cards issued for mouth covering at 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Will Mr. Beast run a red button vs. blue button video by the end of the year?

Will all Five Eyes countries be governed by red parties before the end of Trump’s second term?

What will be Max Verstappen's next team after Red Bull Racing?

Will the Red Panda (Ailurus fulgens) become extinct in the current century?

Will "Red-Thing-Ism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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