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Prediction markets for Red One

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

31.67%chance

680289162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5476

3824

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Nov 12, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8%chance

4752333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3139

336

MIHAWK>SHANKS STOCKS

May 4, 3:56 AMMay 4, 4:59 AM

16340289

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2552

1121

3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.

Dec 27, 8:14 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

71.69%chance

6620117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1591

628

Will Max Verstappen be a Red Bull driver in the first race of the 2026 season?

Aug 20, 3:31 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

88.86%chance

387888

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2825

354

Will Claude Become a Pokemon Master before 2027?

Feb 25, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.99%chance

457731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2843

352

Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?

Mar 12, 11:13 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.23%chance

264684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2710

623

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

191028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

830

Will the Northeast Face of Mashenbrum be climed by end of 2032?

Sep 10, 4:48 AMSep 17, 6:59 AM

46.7%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

936

If you had to go on a date with Cabbage or Red Currant, which one would you pick?

Oct 1, 4:46 AM

80

One state, two state, red state, blue state

Oct 15, 9:49 PM

720

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