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Prediction markets for Red State Bans

Will the US government ban Rednote / Xiaohongshu by 2026?

Jan 14, 1:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.91%chance

5425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

399

25

Will there be a national (US) school phone ban by 2030?

Sep 3, 3:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16%chance

5150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

44

If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?

Jan 20, 7:37 AMJan 20, 3:59 PM

4142

OptionProbability

20-24

25-29

15-19

30-34

At least 35 states

Less than 15 states

36

23

18

8

8

7

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