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Prediction markets for Red War

Will the USA invade Canada before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.32%chance

5728016

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

464

Who would win if Ethiopia went to war against Eritrea and its ally,The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) ?

Feb 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 1:34 PM

102684

OptionProbability

Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.

Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight

It will be stalemate

69

19

12

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

201078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

883

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

17.73%chance

6338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

46

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

25.47%chance

11279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

112

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

📰 What likelihood does the word "possible" in news headlines most closely imply to you?

Apr 5, 2:41 PM

270

Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!

Mar 9, 8:51 PM

00

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