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Prediction markets for Referendum Act

Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?

Apr 5, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.92%chance

373477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2609

689

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

74.01%chance

351164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

600

Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?

Oct 4, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.89%chance

11779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

712

85

First US state to secede

Jul 12, 5:58 PMDec 31, 6:32 PM

8694

OptionProbability

Other

Florida

Washington

California

Texas

Hawaii

New Mexico

Alaska

37

14

13

12

9

6

5

5

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.62%chance

20474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

972

First US state to declare independence?

Jun 8, 5:05 PMDec 31, 6:05 PM

5190

OptionProbability

California

Texas

Other

Washington

Wyoming

Florida

Louisiana

Hawaii

Alaska

31

17

11

9

6

6

6

6

6

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