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Prediction markets for Reform
OptionVotes
1350
900
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM
15.45%chance
206717
OptionVotes
2340
427
Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?
Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM
52.71%chance
245995
OptionVotes
2063
1941
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
80.96%chance
273181
OptionVotes
2062
485
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
163107
OptionProbability
46
21
13
12
2
2
2
2
Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.44%chance
41265
OptionVotes
265
38
Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?
Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
62%chance
12753
OptionVotes
1277
783
Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?
Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
27.92%chance
12608
OptionVotes
1017
983
Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?
Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
45.13%chance
4227
OptionVotes
1103
907
OptionVotes
1091
917
Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?
Mar 12, 11:30 AMDec 31, 12:28 PM
49.97%chance
250
OptionVotes
1001
999
Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2100?
Sep 25, 11:44 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM
50.48%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
990