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Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.82%chance

9412544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12271

8388

Will any restaurant serve hybrid-rice (rice grains integrated with animal cells) regularly by the end of 2026?

Feb 18, 2:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

12.1%chance

455096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2199

688

Will Guadians starting pitcher Tanner Bibee finish the 2026 MLB regular season with an ERA below 4.30?

Mar 2, 8:07 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

74.66%chance

64696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1716

583

ChatGPT (Or LLMs really) have discovered regularities in language that humans are not aware of

Mar 24, 9:48 AMMar 24, 11:15 AM

80.36%chance

332681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1447

738

Will Joel Embiid finish his career with 2 or more regular season MVPs?

Jun 27, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.94%chance

242285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1610

765

Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?

Mar 3, 9:59 PMMar 31, 9:59 PM

31.14%chance

111496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1506

686

Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?

Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

86.17%chance

231275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1821

779

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

74.79%chance

26735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

935

Will >100,000 people regularly use visual AR during everyday life by 2030

Dec 22, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.32%chance

28720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

941

The Elam ending will used in a regular season or playoffs NBA game before 2030

Mar 6, 4:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.56%chance

17453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

813

By the end of 2035, will I be able to use a hoverbike as a regular mode of transportation across New York Harbor?

Jul 13, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.64%chance

7277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1234

810

OU requires hechsher for plain coffee from regular shops by Dec 31, 2026?

Dec 3, 10:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.88%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

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